Uranium Backup Blog’s forecasts for 2012

A year is gone and a new one is coming. A lot of interesting things will happen and it’s fun to try to predict the trends that will rock the future. This blog is about Storage, Virtualization and Backup, so I categorized my forecasts into these three groups.

The HD supply has been hit by the Thai-floods. Actually, production is unable to match the demand and the biggest manufacturers – like Apple – are the only ones that are going to get the disks. The market is expected to recovery after march. Until then, prices of internal and external HDs will stay high, specially for the retail stores.

I bet we’are not going to see a big drop of the SSD prices on 2012. Memories and controllers are improving over time but I’m not seeing anything that make me believe SSD units will be more competitive with traditional HDs for high-capacity formats. Anyway it’s now possible to buy a tiny SSD to use as systems disk with about 150 bucks. Not so bad after all.

Virtualization and Cloud computing are growing faster than ever. VMware has the biggest market share (about 2/3). 2012 will be the year of Microsoft. The Redmond-based company is committed to improve the Windows capabilities as hypervisor. Hyper-V will close the gap with vSphere and I expect a drop of the VMware market share.

Services like Dropbox and iCloud highlighted the capabilities of the cloud for backup purposes. A backup performed on a physical device is faster than a cloud one, that exposes your data to outages and/or governement inspections. That being said, backups stored in the same location of the source data don’t protect from earthquakes, fires, floods and so on. So a cloud backup is a good solution to mantain copies of your data protected in other facilities. I expect them to grow paired with traditional backups.

I think 2012 will be an exciting year! Uranium Backup Blog will remain your source of storage, virtualization and backup related information. Protect your data, no matter what!

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